middle of June, French officials reported on the public boasting by Theodor Blank, the German minister charged with negotiating rearmament, that by the end of 1954 Germany would possess an army of half a million troops. These figures, not meant for public consumption, were in any case inflated, but Blank's tone unsettled French observers. In October, Armand Bérard, the French deputy high commissioner, informed Paris that in private, Germans presented their country as America's most reliable ally and had begun to shed their earlier hesitations toward rearming. François-Poncet noted that mounting French criticism of the EDC "carried water to the German mill." It would allow Adenauer and Blank the opening they sought to approach the Americans about a direct and unfettered entry into NATO. Such thoughts were inflamed by rumors that the American secret services were already engaged in arming paramilitary groups in Germany, and that former Wehrmacht troops were coming out of the woodwork across the country in the hope of returning to their careers in a future German army. 14 Fueled by suspicions that the EDC was far more advantageous to Germany than to France, Quai officials quickly soured on the scheme. In the course of the debate, key figures who had supported the Schuman Plan and encouraged a policy of cooperation with Germany in the late 1940s men such as François Seydoux, Alexandre Parodi, René Massigli, Pierre de Leusse, Jean Chauvel, and Guy le Roy de la Tournelle turned against the EDC. Without the institutional support of these policymakers, the treaty had little chance of success. 15
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On December 22, the government of Antoine Pinay fell, toppled by the MRP, which had grown increasingly uncomfortable supporting Pinay's financial austerity plans and his cuts of the social welfare budget. Pinay had been very popular in the country. He managed to halt inflation, slowed government borrowing, and cut spending, and his fall was decried within France and without. His departure set off a scramble for a successor, and the EDC played an important role in determining the outcome. President Auriol, after calling on the Socialist leader Guy Mollet, the RPF leader Jacques Soustelle, and the MRP leader Georges Bidault, could find no candidate able to secure the needed 314 votes in the Assembly. On January 2, 1953, the Radical René Mayer began to canvass the parties. He could get MRP, Radical, and Independent support, but the Socialists remained in opposition to any right-wing coali-
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