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21
. See “Wall St. Faces Specter of Lost Trading Units,”
New York Times
, August 6, 2010, p. B1.

22
. See “Morgan Stanley Team to Exit in Fallout from Volcker Rule,”
Wall Street Journal
, January 11, 2011, p. C1.

23
. See “Wall St. Faces Specter of Lost Trading Units,”
New York Times
, August 6, 2010, p. B1.

24
. See “With Big Banks Forced to Exit, Look for Speculators to Step In,”
Wall Street Journal
, September 7, 2010, p. C10.

25
. See Michael Lewis, “Wall Street Proprietary Trading Under Cover,” Bloomberg Opinion, October 27, 2010, 4:48 P.M.

26
. Study & Recommendations on Prohibitions on Proprietary Trading & Certain Relationships with Hedge Funds & Private Equity Funds, Financial
Stability Oversight Council, January 2011, p. 4, at
www.treasury.gov/initiatives/Documents/Volcker%20sec%,20%,20619%,20study%,20final%,201%,2018%,2011%,20rg.pdf
.

27
. For a complete list of the metrics see ibid., pp. 39–43.

28
. Ibid., p. 44.

29
.
Prohibiting Certain High Risk Investment Activities by Banks and Bank Holding Companies
, p. 37.

30
. See page 2 of Volcker's letter addressed to Timothy Geithner as chairman of the FSOC, dated October 29, 2010.

31
. Study & Recommendations on Prohibitions on Proprietary Trading & Certain Relationships with Hedge Funds & Private Equity Funds, p. 3.

32
. Ibid., pp. 35–36.

33
. See “Volcker Rule May Work Even If Vague,”
New York Times
, January 21, 2011, p. B1.

34
. “Volcker Rule Should Require Sign-off by Bank CEOs, Panel Says,” Bloomberg, January 19, 2011, available at
www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-19/volcker-rule-should-require-bank-ceos-to-certify-compliance-panel-says.html
.

35
. Ibid.

36
. See “Volcker Rule May Work Even If Vague,” p. B1.

37
. Paul Volcker, Mais Lecture, Cass Business School, London, July 14, 2011.

19. Trust

1
. The
Wall Street Journal
ran an op-ed piece by Lewis Lehrman on August 15, 2011, the fortieth anniversary of the suspension of dollar convertibility, entitled “The Nixon Shock Heard 'Round the World.” The facts are mostly right, with one big exception. Lehrman writes (
Wall Street Journal
, August 15, 2011, p. A13), “At least one Camp David participant, Paul Volcker, regretted what transpired that weekend.” The suspension of convertibility was, in fact, Volcker's idea (see chapter 3), and he does not think it was a mistake.

2
. See chapter 2 on the gold cover. The requirement that the Federal Reserve hold gold certificates against bank reserves was removed in 1965, and the requirement against Federal Reserve notes was eliminated in 1968.

3
. This inscription appears on the face of every Federal Reserve note. Check your pocket.

4
. See Friedman's testimony in “Gold Cover,” Hearings Before the Committee on Banking and Currency, U.S. Senate, 90th Congress, 2nd Sess., February 1, 1968, p. 152.

5
. Irving Fisher was a professor of economics at Yale University from 1898
until 1935. His most important books include
The Rate of Interest
(Macmillan, 1907),
The Purchasing Power of Money
(Macmillan, 1911), and
The Making of Index Numbers
(Houghton Mifflin, 1922). In
Money Mischief
(New York: Harcourt Brace, 1994), p. 37, Milton Friedman calls Fisher “the greatest economist the United States has ever produced.”

6
. The quotes in this paragraph are from Friedman,
Money Mischief
, pp. 252 and 254.

7
. For a general discussion on the origins of the Great Inflation, see Allan Meltzer, “Origins of the Great Inflation,” and Christina Romer, “Commentary,” in
Reflections on Monetary Policy 25 Years After October 1979, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
87, no. 2, part 2 (March/April 2005).

8
. See chapter 14 for the discussion of the passage of the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings amendment to balance the budget.

9
. Federal Reserve press release available at
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110809a.htm
.

10
. PIPAV.

11
. Paul Volcker, “A Little Inflation Can Be a Dangerous Thing,”
New York Times
, September 19, 2011, p. A27.

12
. According to Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, “Even after economic conditions have returned to normal, the nation faces a sizable structural budget gap. Both the Congressional Budget Office and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget project that the budget deficit will be almost 5 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2015, assuming that current budget policies are extended and the economy is then close to full employment.” See “Fiscal Sustainability,” Remarks by Ben S. Bernanke, Annual Conference of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, Washington, DC, June 14, 2011, p. 1, available at
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/2011speech.htm
.

13
. Paul Volcker, “A Little Inflation Can Be a Dangerous Thing,”
New York Times
, September 19, 2011, p. A27.

14
. See
WSJ.com
, October 19, 2011, 10:27 A.M.

15
. See “Fiscal Sustainability,” Remarks by Ben S. Bernanke, Annual Conference of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, Washington, DC, June 14, 2011, available at
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/2011speech.htm
.

Selected Bibliography
Books, Articles, Reports

Abrams, Burton. 2006. “How Richard Nixon Pressured Arthur Burns: Evidence from the Nixon Tapes.”
Journal of Economic Perspectives
20, no. 4 (Fall): 177–88.

Anderson, Harry, and Rich Thomas. 1983. “Voting for Volcker to Stay.”
Newsweek
, June 20, p. 53.

Anderson, Martin. 1990.
Revolution: The Reagan Legacy
. Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, Stanford University.

Arrow, Kenneth. 1963. “Uncertainly and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care.”
American Economic Review
43, no. 5 (December): 941–73.

Barro, Robert. 1982. “United States Inflation and the Choice of Monetary Standard.” In Robert Hall, ed.
Inflation: Causes and Effects
. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 99–110.

———. 1989. “The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits.”
Journal of Economic Perspectives
3, no. 2 (Spring): 37–54.

Bell, Geoffrey. 1973.
The Euro-Dollar Market and the International Financial System
. New York: John Wiley.

Bernanke, Ben S. 2004. “The Great Moderation.” Remarks at the Meetings of the Eastern Economic Association, February 20, 2004. Available at fraser.stlouisfed.org/historicaldocs/1191/download/64784/bernanke_20040220.pdf.

———. 2010. “Paul Volcker,”
Time
, April 29, 2010. Available at
www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1984685_1984745_1984803,00.html
.

———. 2011. “Fiscal Sustainability.” Remarks at the Annual Conference of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Washington, DC,
June 14, 2011. Available at
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/2011speech.htm
.

Bernstein, Peter L. 2000.
The Power of Gold: The History of an Obsession
. New York: John Wiley.

Blinder, Alan. 2005. “Panel Discussion I: What Have We Learned Since October 1979?”
Reflections on Monetary Policy 25 Years After October 1979, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
87, no. 2, part 2 (March/April).

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 1963.
Federal Reserve System: Purposes and Functions
. 5th ed. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

———. 2005.
Federal Reserve System: Purposes and Functions
. 9th ed. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

———. Various dates.
Minutes
. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

———. Various dates.
Press Releases
. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Bordo, Michael D., and Athanasios Orphanides (eds.) (forthcoming).
The Great Inflation
. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Boughton, James. 1998. “Harry Dexter White and the International Monetary Fund.”
Finance and Development
35, no. 3 (September).

Bremner, Robert P. 2004.
Chairman of the Fed: William McChesney Martin Jr. and the Creation of the Modern American Financial System
. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

Brunnermeier, Markus. 2009. “Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch of 2007–2008.”
Journal of Economic Perspectives
23, no. 1 (Winter): 77–100.

Burns, Arthur F. 1979.
The Anguish of Central Banking
. Belgrade, Yugoslavia: The 1979 Per Jacobsson Lecture. Available at
www.perjacobsson.org/lectures/1979.pdf
.

———. 2010.
Inside the Nixon Administration: The Secret Diary of Arthur Burns, 1969–1974
. Robert H. Ferrell, ed. Lawrence: University Press of Kansas.

Carter, Jimmy. 2010.
White House Diary
. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.

Cassidy, John. 2010. “The Volcker Rule.”
New Yorker
86, no. 21, July 26.

Chernow, Ron. 1990.
The House of Morgan: An American Banking Dynasty and the Rise of Modern Finance
. New York: Atlantic Monthly Press.

Clarida, Richard, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler. 2000. “Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory.”
Quarterly Journal of Economics
115, no. 1 (February): 147–180.

Cohan, William D. 2009.
House of Cards: A Tale of Hubris and Wretched Excess on Wall Street
. New York: Doubleday.

Connally, John B. 1993.
In History's Shadow: An American Odyssey
. New York: Hyperion.

Coombs, Charles A. 1976.
The Arena of International Finance
. New York: John Wiley.

Council of Economic Advisers. Various dates.
Annual Report
. Washington, DC.

———. Various dates.
Economic Report of the President
. Washington, DC.

Coyne, Joseph H. 2005. “Reflections on the FOMC Meeting of October 6, 1979.”
Reflections on Monetary Policy 25 Years After October 1979, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
87, no. 2, part 2 (March/April): 313–16.

Dornbusch, Rudiger, and Jeffrey Frankel. 1989. “The Flexible Exchange Rate System: Experience and Alternatives.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 2464. Available at
www.nber.org/papers/w2464.pdf
.

Duncombe, Bruce, ed. 2002.
Foreign Relations of the United States, 1969–1976,
vol. 3,
Foreign Economic Policy 1969–1972; International Monetary Policy, 1969–1972
. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

Eckstein, Otto. 1981.
Core Inflation
. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.

Epstein, Edward Jay. 1982.
The Rise and Fall of Diamonds: The Shattering of a Brilliant Illusion
. New York: Simon & Schuster.

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 1998.
Managing the Crisis: The FDIC and RTC Experience, 1980–1994
. Washington, DC.

Federal Open Market Committee. Various dates.
Memorandum of Discussion
. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

———. Various dates.
Record of Policy Actions
. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

———. Various dates.
Transcripts
. Papers of Arthur Burns. University of Michigan Library, Ann Arbor, MI.

———. Various dates.
Transcripts
. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Feldstein, Martin S. 1994. “American Economic Policy in the 1980s: A Personal View.” In Martin Feldstein, ed.
American Economic Policy in the 1980s
. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Financial Stability Oversight Council. 2011.
Annual Report
. Available at
www.treasury.gov/initiatives/fsoc/Pages/annual-report.aspx
.

———. 2011. “Study & Recommendations on Prohibitions on Proprietary Trading & Certain Relationships with Hedge Funds & Private Equity
Funds.” Available at
www.treasury.gov/initiatives/Documents/Volcker%20sec%,20%,20619%,20study%,20final%,201%,2018%,2011%,20rg.pdf
.

Fisher, Irving. 1907.
The Rate of Interest
New York: Macmillan.

———. 1911.
The Purchasing Power of Money
. New York: Macmillan.

———. 1922.
The Making of Index Numbers
. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.

Fleming, J. M. 1962. “Domestic Financial Policies Under Fixed and Under Floating Exchange Rates.”
IMF Staff Papers
9, no. 3, (November): 369–80. Foote, John Taintor. 1924.
A Wedding Gift; A Fishing Story
. London: D. Appleton-Century Co.

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